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| FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS |
| ✓ INTEREST RATES |
✓ INTERNATIONAL TRADE |
✓ CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) |
| ✓ DURABLE GOODS ORDERS |
✓ EMPLOYMENT REPORT |
✓ GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) |
| ✓ PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI) |
✓ PURCHASING MANAGER'S INDEX (PMI) |
✓ RETAIL SALES |
EMPLOYMENT REPORT
In the US, the employment report, also known as the labor report, is regarded as the most important among all economic indicators. Usually released on the first Friday of the month, the report provides the first comprehensive look at the economy, covering nine economic categories.
Here are the 3 main components of the report: Payroll Employment: Measures the change in number of workers in a given month. It is important to compare this figure to a monthly moving average (6 or 9 months) so as to capture a true perspective of the trend in labor market strength. Equally important are the frequent revisions for the prior months, which are often significant.
Unemployment Rate: The percentage of the civilian labor force actively looking for employment but unable to find jobs. Although it is a highly proclaimed figure (due to simplicity of the number and its political implications ), the unemployment rate gets relatively less importance in the markets because it is known to be a lagging indicator--It usually falls behind economic turns.
Average Hourly Earnings Growth: The growth rate between one month's average hourly rate and another's sheds light on wage growth and, hence, assesses the potential of wage-push inflation. The year-on-year rate is also important in capturing the longer-term trend.
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| ECONOMIC CALENDARS |
| DATE |
TIME |
COUNTRY |
EVENT |
FORECAST |
PREVIOUS |
| 07/21/08 |
3:15am |
Switzerland |
PPI m/m |
0.4% |
1.2% |
| 07/21/08 |
4:45am |
United Kingdom |
BOE Governor King Speaks |
|
|
|
8:30am |
Canada |
Core Retail Sales m/m |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
9:30pm |
Australia |
CPI q/q |
1.2 |
1.3% |
| 07/23/08 |
4:30am |
United Kingdom |
MPC Meeting Minutes |
8-1 hld |
8-1 hld |
|
7:00am |
Canada |
Core CPI m/m |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
5:00pm |
New Zealand |
Monetary Policy Statement |
|
|
|
5:00pm |
New Zealand |
Official Cash Rate |
8.25% |
8.25% |
| 07/24/08 |
4:00am |
Eurozone |
German Ifo Business Climate Index |
100.2 |
101.3 |
|
4:30am |
United Kingdom |
Retail Sales m/m |
-2.5% |
3.5% |
|
10:00am |
United States |
Existing Home Sales |
4.93M |
4.99M |
| 07/25/08 |
4:30am |
United Kingdom |
Prelim GDP q/q |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
8:30am |
United States |
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m |
-0.2% |
-0.9% |
|
10:00am |
United States |
New Home Sales |
508K |
512K |
| LATEST MARKET UPDATES |
CURRENCY OUTLOOK |
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