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| TECHNICAL ANALYSIS |
| ✓ PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS |
✓ FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT |
✓ SUPPORT & RESISTANCE |
| ✓ LINES & CHANNELS |
✓ MOVING AVERAGES |
✓ MOVING AVERAGE CONVERGENCE/DIVERGENCE (MACD) |
| ✓ PARABOLIC SAR |
✓ SLOW STOCHASTIC |
✓ BOLLINGER BANDS |
MOVING AVERAGES
If you believe in the "trend-in-your-friend" tenet of technical analysis, moving averages are very helpful. Moving averages tell the average price in a given point of time over a defined period of time. They are called moving because they reflect the latest average, while adhering to the same time measure.
A weakness of moving averages is that they lag the market, so they do not necessarily signal a change in trends. To address this issue, using a shorter period, such as 5 or 10 day moving average, would be more reflective of the recent price action than the 40 or 200-day moving averages.
Alternatively, moving averages may be used by combining two averages of distinct time- frames. Whether using 5 and 20-day MA, or 40 and 200-day MA, buy signals are usually detected when the shorter-term average crosses above the longer-term average. Conversely, sell signals are suggested when the shorter average falls below the longer one.
There are three kind of mathematically distinct moving averages: Simple MA; Linearly Weighted MA; and Exponentially Smoothed. The latter choice is the preferred one because it assigns greater weight for the most recent data, and considers data in the entire life of the instrument.
Having multiple moving averages with different parameters can be very effective in analyzing the forex market trend.
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| ECONOMIC CALENDARS |
| DATE |
TIME |
COUNTRY |
EVENT |
FORECAST |
PREVIOUS |
| 07/21/08 |
3:15am |
Switzerland |
PPI m/m |
0.4% |
1.2% |
| 07/21/08 |
4:45am |
United Kingdom |
BOE Governor King Speaks |
|
|
|
8:30am |
Canada |
Core Retail Sales m/m |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
9:30pm |
Australia |
CPI q/q |
1.2 |
1.3% |
| 07/23/08 |
4:30am |
United Kingdom |
MPC Meeting Minutes |
8-1 hld |
8-1 hld |
|
7:00am |
Canada |
Core CPI m/m |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
5:00pm |
New Zealand |
Monetary Policy Statement |
|
|
|
5:00pm |
New Zealand |
Official Cash Rate |
8.25% |
8.25% |
| 07/24/08 |
4:00am |
Eurozone |
German Ifo Business Climate Index |
100.2 |
101.3 |
|
4:30am |
United Kingdom |
Retail Sales m/m |
-2.5% |
3.5% |
|
10:00am |
United States |
Existing Home Sales |
4.93M |
4.99M |
| 07/25/08 |
4:30am |
United Kingdom |
Prelim GDP q/q |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
8:30am |
United States |
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m |
-0.2% |
-0.9% |
|
10:00am |
United States |
New Home Sales |
508K |
512K |
| LATEST MARKET UPDATES |
CURRENCY OUTLOOK |
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