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| TECHNICAL ANALYSIS |
| ✓ PIVOT POINT ANALYSIS |
✓ FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT |
✓ SUPPORT & RESISTANCE |
| ✓ LINES & CHANNELS |
✓ MOVING AVERAGES |
✓ MOVING AVERAGE CONVERGENCE/DIVERGENCE (MACD) |
| ✓ PARABOLIC SAR |
✓ SLOW STOCHASTIC |
✓ BOLLINGER BANDS |
PARABOLIC SAR
Developed by Welles Wilder, creator of RSI and DMI, the Parabolic SAR sets trailing price stops for long or short positions. Also referred to as the stop-and-reversal indicator (SAR stands for "stop and reversal"), Parabolic SAR is more popular for setting stops than for establishing direction or trend. Wilder recommended establishing the trend first, and then trading with Parabolic SAR in the direction of the trend. If the trend is up, buy when the indicator moves below the price. If the trend is down, sell when the indicator moves above the price.
The formula is quite complex and beyond the scope of this definition, but interpretation is relatively straightforward. The dotted lines below the price establish the trailing stop for a long position and the lines above establish the trailing stop for a short position. At the beginning of the move, the Parabolic SAR will provide a greater cushion between the price and the trailing stop. As the move gets underway, the distance between the price and the indicator will shrink, thus making for a tighter stop-loss as the price moves in a favorable direction.
There are two variables: the step and the maximum step. The higher the step is set, the more sensitive the indicator will be to price changes. If the step is set too high, the indicator will fluctuate above and below the price too often, making interpretation difficult. The maximum step controls the adjustment of the SAR as the price moves. The lower the maximum step is set, the further the trailing stop will be from the price. Wilder recommends setting the step at 0.02 and the maximum step at 0.20.
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| ECONOMIC CALENDARS |
| DATE |
TIME |
COUNTRY |
EVENT |
FORECAST |
PREVIOUS |
| 07/21/08 |
3:15am |
Switzerland |
PPI m/m |
0.4% |
1.2% |
| 07/21/08 |
4:45am |
United Kingdom |
BOE Governor King Speaks |
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|
|
8:30am |
Canada |
Core Retail Sales m/m |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
9:30pm |
Australia |
CPI q/q |
1.2 |
1.3% |
| 07/23/08 |
4:30am |
United Kingdom |
MPC Meeting Minutes |
8-1 hld |
8-1 hld |
|
7:00am |
Canada |
Core CPI m/m |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
5:00pm |
New Zealand |
Monetary Policy Statement |
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|
|
5:00pm |
New Zealand |
Official Cash Rate |
8.25% |
8.25% |
| 07/24/08 |
4:00am |
Eurozone |
German Ifo Business Climate Index |
100.2 |
101.3 |
|
4:30am |
United Kingdom |
Retail Sales m/m |
-2.5% |
3.5% |
|
10:00am |
United States |
Existing Home Sales |
4.93M |
4.99M |
| 07/25/08 |
4:30am |
United Kingdom |
Prelim GDP q/q |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
8:30am |
United States |
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m |
-0.2% |
-0.9% |
|
10:00am |
United States |
New Home Sales |
508K |
512K |
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CURRENCY OUTLOOK |
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